Dashboard
Through 4 weeks, John L is our most likely regular season champion, with a 53.7% chance of taking home the title.
| Owner | Rating | 1 Week Change | YTD Wins | Sim Wins | P(1st) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John L | 1578 | 9 | 4 | 9.62 | 0.537 |
| Jeff M | 1558 | 18 | 3 | 8.40 | 0.218 |
| Steve F | 1545 | -9 | 3 | 8.24 | 0.181 |
| Andrew F | 1502 | 14 | 2 | 6.50 | 0.035 |
| Mark M | 1474 | 26 | 1 | 5.07 | < 1 % |
| John N | 1470 | -18 | 1 | 5.06 | < 1 % |
| Nathan S | 1459 | -14 | 2 | 5.68 | 0.019 |
| Craig B | 1426 | -26 | 0 | 3.42 | < 1 % |
Predicted Win Totals
The graphic below shows the distribution of possible win totals for each owner generated by simulating the remaining 9 weeks of the season 10,000 times.
Predictions for Week 5
| Matchup | Probability |
|---|---|
| Steve F over Craig B | 0.66 |
| Jeff M over Nathan S | 0.64 |
| John L over Andrew F | 0.61 |
| Mark M over John N | 0.51 |