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Fantasy Football Elo Ratings Week 2 Update

Dashboard

Through 2 weeks, John L is our most likely regular season champion, with a 34.2% chance of taking home the title.

Owner Rating 1 Week Change YTD Wins Sim Wins P(1st)
John L 1554 20 2 8.42 0.342
Steve F 1536 27 2 8.13 0.283
Jeff M 1529 17 1 7.12 0.120
Andrew F 1498 -27 1 6.37 0.070
Nathan S 1491 13 2 7.17 0.141
Craig B 1472 -17 0 5.06 0.015
John N 1468 -20 0 4.92 0.015
Mark M 1463 -13 0 4.81 0.014

Predicted Win Totals

The graphic below shows the distribution of possible win totals for each owner generated by simulating the remaining 11 weeks of the season 10,000 times.

Predictions for Week 3

Matchup Probability
John L over Mark M 0.63
Steve F over Nathan S 0.56
Jeff M over Andrew F 0.54
Craig B over John N 0.51