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Fantasy Football Elo Ratings Week 1 Update

Dashboard

Through 1 week, John L is our most likely regular season champion, with a 25.3% chance of taking home the title.

Owner Rating 1 Week Change YTD Wins Sim Wins P(1st)
John L 1534 28 1 7.63 0.253
Andrew F 1525 24 1 7.41 0.225
Jeff M 1513 -21 0 6.25 0.080
Steve F 1509 22 1 7.16 0.182
Craig B 1489 -27 0 5.76 0.054
John N 1488 -34 0 5.77 0.057
Nathan S 1478 32 1 6.50 0.109
Mark M 1476 -24 0 5.51 0.041

Predicted Win Totals

The graphic below shows the distribution of possible win totals for each owner generated by simulating the remaining 12 weeks of the season 10,000 times.

Predictions for Week 2

Matchup Probability
John L over John N 0.57
Jeff M over Craig B 0.53
Andrew F over Steve F 0.52
Mark M over Nathan S 0.50