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Fantasy Football Elo Ratings Week 12 Update

Dashboard

Through 12 weeks, Andrew F is our most likely regular season champion, with a 81.6% chance of taking home the title.

Owner Rating 1 Week Change YTD Wins Sim Wins P(1st)
Andrew F 1647 -34 10 10.62 0.816
John N 1590 34 8 8.81 --
Steve C 1580 13 7 7.68 --
Jeff M 1560 16 9 9.38 0.184
Steve F 1454 20 5 5.60 --
Craig B 1444 -16 5 5.32 --
John L 1380 -13 2 2.40 --
Nathan S 1345 -20 2 2.19 --

Predicted Win Totals

The graphic below shows the distribution of possible win totals for each owner generated by simulating the remaining 1 weeks of the season 10,000 times.

How the Odds Have Changed

Predictions for Week 13

Matchup Probability
John N over Nathan S 0.80
Steve C over Craig B 0.69
Andrew F over Jeff M 0.62
Steve F over John L 0.60