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Fantasy Football Elo Ratings Week 11 Update

Dashboard

Through 11 weeks, Andrew F is our most likely regular season champion, with a 96.8% chance of taking home the title.

Owner Rating 1 Week Change YTD Wins Sim Wins P(1st)
Andrew F 1681 8 10 11.36 0.968
Steve C 1567 11 6 7.39 --
John N 1556 20 7 8.07 --
Jeff M 1544 -20 8 8.93 0.032
Craig B 1460 15 5 5.74 --
Steve F 1434 -8 4 5.15 --
John L 1393 -15 2 2.72 --
Nathan S 1365 -11 2 2.65 --

Predicted Win Totals

The graphic below shows the distribution of possible win totals for each owner generated by simulating the remaining 2 weeks of the season 10,000 times.

How the Odds Have Changed

Predictions for Week 12

Matchup Probability
Steve C over John L 0.73
Andrew F over John N 0.67
Jeff M over Craig B 0.62
Steve F over Nathan S 0.60