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Fantasy Football Elo Ratings Week 7 Update

Dashboard

Through 7 weeks, Andrew F is our most likely regular season champion, with a 76.5% chance of taking home the title.

Owner Rating 1 Week Change YTD Wins Sim Wins P(1st)
Andrew F 1635 10 6 10.13 0.765
Steve C 1551 18 4 7.53 0.054
Jeff M 1523 -18 5 8.32 0.143
John N 1519 15 4 7.12 0.033
Steve F 1479 -26 3 5.72 < 1%
John L 1471 -15 2 4.72 < 1%
Craig B 1454 26 3 5.53 < 1%
Nathan S 1369 -10 1 2.93 < 1%

Predicted Win Totals

The graphic below shows the distribution of possible win totals for each owner generated by simulating the remaining 6 weeks of the season 10,000 times.

How the Odds Have Changed

Predictions for Week 8

Matchup Probability
Andrew F over John L 0.72
Jeff M over Nathan S 0.71
Steve C over Steve F 0.60
John N over Craig B 0.59