Dashboard
Through 5 weeks, Jeff M is our most likely regular season champion, with a 49% chance of taking home the title.
| Owner | Rating | 1 Week Change | YTD Wins | Sim Wins | P(1st) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew F | 1607 | 20 | 4 | 9.20 | 0.374 |
| Steve C | 1568 | -20 | 3 | 7.97 | 0.110 |
| Jeff M | 1560 | 12 | 5 | 9.61 | 0.490 |
| John L | 1509 | 20 | 2 | 6.13 | 0.011 |
| John N | 1484 | -20 | 2 | 5.94 | < 1% |
| Steve F | 1481 | 21 | 2 | 5.76 | < 1% |
| Nathan S | 1399 | -21 | 1 | 3.77 | < 1% |
| Craig B | 1392 | -12 | 1 | 3.63 | < 1% |
Predicted Win Totals
The graphic below shows the distribution of possible win totals for each owner generated by simulating the remaining 8 weeks of the season 10,000 times.
How the Odds Have Changed
Predictions for Week 6
| Matchup | Probability |
|---|---|
| Steve C over Craig B | 0.73 |
| John N over Nathan S | 0.62 |
| Andrew F over Jeff M | 0.57 |
| John L over Steve F | 0.54 |