Dashboard
Through 4 weeks, Jeff M is our most likely regular season champion, with a 38.9% chance of taking home the title.
| Owner | Rating | 1 Week Change | YTD Wins | Sim Wins | P(1st) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve C | 1588 | 16 | 3 | 8.84 | 0.295 |
| Andrew F | 1587 | 14 | 3 | 8.62 | 0.266 |
| Jeff M | 1548 | 29 | 4 | 9.16 | 0.389 |
| John N | 1504 | -29 | 2 | 6.56 | 0.038 |
| John L | 1489 | -29 | 1 | 5.30 | 0.006 |
| Steve F | 1460 | -14 | 1 | 5.05 | 0.004 |
| Nathan S | 1420 | -16 | 1 | 4.46 | 0.001 |
| Craig B | 1404 | 29 | 1 | 4.02 | 0.001 |
Predicted Win Totals
The graphic below shows the distribution of possible win totals for each owner generated by simulating the remaining 9 weeks of the season 10,000 times.
How the Odds Have Changed
Predictions for Week 5
| Matchup | Probability |
|---|---|
| Jeff M over Craig B | 0.70 |
| Steve C over John L | 0.64 |
| Andrew F over John N | 0.62 |
| Steve F over Nathan S | 0.56 |