Dashboard
Through 3 weeks, Steve C is our most likely regular season champion, with a 27.1% chance of taking home the title.
| Owner | Rating | 1 Week Change | YTD Wins | Sim Wins | P(1st) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve C | 1572 | 15 | 2 | 8.29 | 0.271 |
| Andrew F | 1572 | -15 | 2 | 8.04 | 0.231 |
| John N | 1533 | 23 | 2 | 7.48 | 0.151 |
| Jeff M | 1519 | 25 | 3 | 8.29 | 0.268 |
| John L | 1518 | -25 | 1 | 6.40 | 0.049 |
| Steve F | 1474 | -23 | 1 | 5.56 | 0.020 |
| Nathan S | 1435 | 24 | 1 | 4.93 | 0.010 |
| Craig B | 1375 | -24 | 0 | 3.01 | 0.001 |
Predicted Win Totals
The graphic below shows the distribution of possible win totals for each owner generated by simulating the remaining 10 weeks of the season 10000 times.
How the Odds Have Changed
Predictions for Week 4
| Matchup | Probability |
|---|---|
| John L over Craig B | 0.69 |
| Steve C over Nathan S | 0.69 |
| Andrew F over Steve F | 0.64 |
| John N over Jeff M | 0.52 |