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Fantasy Football Elo Ratings Week 2 Update

Dashboard

Through 2 weeks, Andrew F is our most likely regular season champion, with a 42.7% chance of taking home the title.

Owner Rating 1 Week Change YTD Wins Sim Wins P(1st)
Andrew F 1587 10 2 8.87 0.427
Steve C 1558 19 1 7.51 0.162
John L 1543 12 1 7.30 0.129
John N 1510 -19 1 6.69 0.084
Steve F 1497 -32 1 6.36 0.059
Jeff M 1494 32 2 7.35 0.134
Nathan S 1412 -12 0 4.08 0.003
Craig B 1399 -10 0 3.85 0.003

Predicted Win Totals

The graphic below shows the distribution of possible win totals for each owner generated by simulating the remaining 11 weeks of the season 10,000 times.

Predictions for Week 3

Matchup Probability
John L over Jeff M 0.57
Andrew F over Steve C 0.54
John N over Steve F 0.52
Nathan S over Craig B 0.52