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Fantasy Football Elo Ratings Week 1 Update

Dashboard

Through 1 week, Andrew F is our most likely regular season champion, with a 35% chance of taking home the title.

Owner Rating 1 Week Change YTD Wins Sim Wins P(1st)
Andrew F 1577 26 1 8.44 0.350
Steve C 1539 -10 0 6.75 0.102
John L 1531 -20 0 6.77 0.099
John N 1529 8 1 7.43 0.177
Steve F 1529 11 1 7.51 0.183
Jeff M 1462 24 1 6.23 0.071
Nathan S 1424 -30 0 4.56 0.010
Craig B 1409 -10 0 4.31 0.008

Predicted Win Totals

The graphic below shows the distribution of possible win totals for each owner generated by simulating the remaining 12 weeks of the season 10,000 times.

Predictions for Week 2

Matchup Probability
Andrew F over Craig B 0.72
John L over Nathan S 0.65
Steve F over Jeff M 0.60
Steve C over John N 0.51