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Fantasy Football Elo Ratings Week 12 Update

Dashboard

After 12 weeks, John L is our regular season champion! With a two game lead and only one week remaining in the season, all other owners have been mathematically eliminated.

Owner Rating 1 Week Change YTD Wins Sim Wins P(1st)
John L 1598 19 10 10.62 1
Andrew F 1551 21 8 8.68 0
Steve C 1549 -19 7 7.71 0
John N 1549 -21 8 8.68 0
Steve F 1510 16 6 6.38 0
Jeff M 1424 -15 3 3.32 0
Nathan S 1423 -16 4 4.32 0
Craig B 1397 15 2 2.29 0

Predicted Win Totals

The graphic below shows the distribution of possible win totals for each owner generated by simulating the final week of the season 10000 times.

How the Odds Have Changed

Predictions for Week 13

Matchup Probability
Steve C over Craig B 0.71
Andrew F over Jeff M 0.68
John N over Nathan S 0.67
John L over Steve F 0.62