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Fantasy Football Elo Ratings Week 11 Update

Dashboard

Through 11 weeks, John L is our most likely regular season champion, with a 92.69% chance of taking home the title.

Owner Rating 1 Week Change YTD Wins Sim Wins P(1st)
John L 1580 10 9 10.12 0.9269
John N 1570 13 8 9.24 0.0731
Steve C 1568 12 7 8.24 0.0000
Andrew F 1530 22 7 8.08 0.0000
Steve F 1494 -22 5 5.96 0.0000
Jeff M 1439 -13 3 3.96 0.0000
Nathan S 1438 -12 4 4.73 0.0000
Craig B 1382 -10 1 1.67 0.0000

Predicted Win Totals

The graphic below shows the distribution of possible win totals for each owner generated by simulating the remaining 2 weeks of the season 10000 times.

How the Odds Have Changed

Predictions for Week 12

Matchup Probability
Steve F over Nathan S 0.58
Jeff M over Craig B 0.58
John N over Andrew F 0.56
John L over Steve C 0.52