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Fantasy Football Elo Ratings Week 10 Update

Dashboard

Through 10 weeks, John L is our most likely regular season champion, with a 84.33% chance of taking home the title.

Owner Rating 1 Week Change YTD Wins Sim Wins P(1st)
John L 1570 13 8 9.82 0.8433
John N 1557 16 7 8.87 0.1012
Steve C 1556 -15 6 7.85 0.0523
Steve F 1517 -16 5 6.55 0.0000
Andrew F 1508 15 6 7.47 0.0032
Jeff M 1452 -13 3 4.37 0.0000
Nathan S 1450 4 4 5.11 0.0000
Craig B 1392 -4 1 1.95 0.0000

Predicted Win Totals

The graphic below shows the distribution of possible win totals for each owner generated by simulating the remaining 3 weeks of the season 10000 times.

How the Odds Have Changed

Predictions for Week 11

Matchup Probability
John L over Craig B 0.74
John N over Jeff M 0.65
Steve C over Nathan S 0.65
Steve F over Andrew F 0.51