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Fantasy Football Elo Ratings Week 8 Update

Dashboard

Through 8 weeks, John N is our most likely regular season champion, with a 45.9% chance of taking home the title.

Owner Rating 1 Week Change YTD Wins Sim Wins P(1st)
John N 1556 13 6 8.85 0.459
Steve C 1555 12 5 7.95 0.219
John L 1542 16 6 8.95 0.307
Steve F 1516 -12 4 6.53 0.007
Jeff M 1482 4 3 5.37 0.000
Andrew F 1478 -16 4 6.41 0.008
Nathan S 1460 -4 3 5.12 0.000
Craig B 1411 -13 1 2.84 0.000

Predicted Win Totals

The graphic below shows the distribution of possible win totals for each owner generated by simulating the remaining 5 weeks of the season 1000 times.

How the Odds Have Changed

Predictions for Week 9

Matchup Probability
John L over Nathan S 0.62
Andrew F over Craig B 0.60
Steve F over Jeff M 0.55
Steve C over John N 0.50