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Fantasy Football Elo Ratings Week 6 Update

Dashboard

Through 6 weeks, John L is our most likely regular season champion, with a 63.9% chance of taking home the title.

Owner Rating 1 Week Change YTD Wins Sim Wins P(1st)
John L 1545 8 5 9.04 0.639
Steve C 1529 -11 3 6.80 0.100
John N 1524 18 4 7.79 0.168
Steve F 1514 -8 3 6.66 0.041
Andrew F 1493 13 3 6.43 0.028
Jeff M 1491 -13 2 5.39 0.007
Nathan S 1467 -18 3 6.08 0.017
Craig B 1438 11 1 3.82 0.000

Predicted Win Totals

The graphic below shows the distribution of possible win totals for each owner generated by simulating the remaining 7 weeks of the season 1000 times.

How the Odds Have Changed

Predictions for Week 7

Matchup Probability
Steve F over Craig B 0.61
Steve C over Jeff M 0.55
Andrew F over Nathan S 0.54
John L over John N 0.53