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Fantasy Football Elo Ratings Week 5 Update

Dashboard

Through 5 weeks, John L is our most likely regular season champion, with a 41% chance of taking home the title.

Owner Rating 1 Week Change YTD Wins Sim Wins P(1st)
Steve C 1540 -19 3 7.55 0.260
John L 1537 19 4 8.41 0.410
Steve F 1522 -18 3 7.21 0.148
John N 1507 18 3 7.09 0.092
Jeff M 1504 13 2 6.14 0.027
Nathan S 1484 18 3 6.83 0.051
Andrew F 1480 -18 2 5.67 0.012
Craig B 1427 -13 0 3.10 0.000

Predicted Win Totals

The graphic below shows the distribution of possible win totals for each owner generated by simulating the remaining 8 weeks of the season 1000 times.

How the Odds Have Changed

Predictions for Week 6

Matchup Probability
Steve C over Craig B 0.66
Jeff M over Andrew F 0.53
John N over Nathan S 0.53
John L over Steve F 0.52