Dashboard
Through 4 weeks, Steve C is our most likely regular season champion, with a 47.5% chance of taking home the title.
| Owner | Rating | 1 Week Change | YTD Wins | Sim Wins | P(1st) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve C | 1559 | 10 | 3 | 8.46 | 0.475 |
| Steve F | 1540 | 19 | 3 | 8.12 | 0.261 |
| John L | 1518 | 13 | 3 | 7.54 | 0.162 |
| Andrew F | 1498 | -19 | 2 | 6.46 | 0.034 |
| Jeff M | 1491 | -16 | 1 | 5.43 | 0.010 |
| John N | 1489 | 16 | 2 | 6.46 | 0.039 |
| Nathan S | 1466 | -10 | 2 | 5.91 | 0.019 |
| Craig B | 1440 | -13 | 0 | 3.61 | 0.000 |
Predicted Win Totals
The graphic below shows the distribution of possible win totals for each owner generated by simulating the remaining 9 weeks of the season 1000 times.
How the Odds Have Changed
Predictions for Week 5
| Matchup | Probability |
|---|---|
| Steve F over Nathan S | 0.60 |
| Jeff M over Craig B | 0.57 |
| Steve C over John L | 0.56 |
| Andrew F over John N | 0.51 |