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Fantasy Football Elo Ratings Week 2 Update

Dashboard

Through 2 weeks, Andrew F is our most likely regular season champion, with a 38.3% chance of taking home the title.

Owner Rating 1 Week Change YTD Wins Sim Wins P(1st)
Andrew F 1535 17 2 7.99 0.383
Steve C 1532 22 1 7.15 0.196
Jeff M 1526 21 1 7.05 0.167
Steve F 1499 -21 1 6.47 0.098
John N 1494 -22 1 6.29 0.063
John L 1484 21 1 6.18 0.057
Nathan S 1466 -21 1 5.98 0.029
Craig B 1464 -17 0 4.91 0.007

Predicted Win Totals

The graphic below shows the distribution of possible win totals for each owner generated by simulating the remaining 11 weeks of the season 1000 times.

How the Odds Have Changed

Predictions for Week 3

Matchup Probability
Jeff M over John L 0.56
Steve F over John N 0.51
Andrew F over Steve C 0.50
Craig B over Nathan S 0.50