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Fantasy Football Elo Ratings Week 1 Update

Dashboard

Through 1 week, Steve F is our most likely regular season champion, with a 24.1% chance of taking home the title.

Owner Rating 1 Week Change YTD Wins Sim Wins P(1st)
Steve F 1520 16 1 7.35 0.241
Andrew F 1518 9 1 7.36 0.234
John N 1516 12 1 7.24 0.191
Steve C 1510 -13 0 6.24 0.106
Jeff M 1505 -3 0 6.01 0.066
Nathan S 1487 2 1 6.80 0.106
Craig B 1481 -13 0 5.64 0.035
John L 1463 -10 0 5.36 0.021

Predicted Win Totals

The graphic below shows the distribution of possible win totals for each owner generated by simulating the remaining 12 weeks of the season 1000 times.

Predictions for Week 2

Matchup Probability
Andrew F over Craig B 0.55
Nathan S over John L 0.53
Steve F over Jeff M 0.52
John N over Steve C 0.51